Updated temperature outlook for Europe

Our temperature outlook for the next 2 months has been updated.

🔜 Onda CTM 15-day is a new numerical model in experimental phase which can forecast temperature trends with a positive correlation on the order of 80% within 15 days and 70% within 30 days.
We can see in advance the climate trends for the next months with a precision that no other deterministic model has.
This model will be available online soon with several charts for different European cities.

🔥 Warmer than average temperatures are expected in the next few days across most of Europe due to a strong upper-level ridge that will pump a plume of very warm air north from northern Africa.
The warmest air mass will be across the central parts of the continent, especially over France, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Italy and even further north over Scandinavia with even more than 12°C above normal for late-October.
This warm spell will probably extend into the first days of November, especially over southwestern and central Europe, albeit in a more attenuated way.

➡️ But a big change is forecast starting from mid-November, when some negative temperature anomalies are forecast across northwestern and then central Europe.
This time UK, France, Benelux, Germany, Italy and other countries in central Europe may experience cooler than average temperatures.
The second part of November will be more dynamic with frequent cold fronts spreading across much of Europe, while December seems to be more stable, due to the strengthening of the Polar Vortex.
Warmer than average temperatures are forecast for most of December over large part of Europe, whereas it is very likely that UK will have a cold and snowy winter.

📸 Credits: NextClima